Thursday, February 2, 2012

Unintended Consequences -

The anti-immigration laws of Arizona, Alabama and other states will have severe unintended consequences. In fact, much like the increased security at the border, the results will be the exact opposite of what backers hoped to accomplish[1].
States passed laws to force illegal aliens to leave their state by citing the huge cost of illegal aliens. These costs included huge increases in expenditures for education, medical treatment, social services and the cost of crime. Unemployment was also cited as a problem caused in no small part by the illegal aliens.
As these laws took effect in Alabama and Arizona a huge number of illegal aliens fled those states. The unintended consequence is that these states will be proof that the illegal aliens not only did not cost the states significant amount of money, but the money lost because of the exodus of illegal aliens significantly harmed the state, city and county budgets.
If the illegals were costing huge amounts of money in school, hospital, police and social service budgets we should soon see each of those entities asking for less money in the coming budgets. Also, unemployment figures should be dropping like a rock. The reality will be difficult to conceal.
Alabama is already reporting that sales taxes are down. No significant changes occurred in employment figures due to the mass exodus.
The only significant change in these states may be the number of business failures because unemployed Americans will not do the dirty jobs. Social Services will not see enough of a decrease in their workloads or budgets to lay off any workers. The thousands of dollars spent by the ‘illegals’ in business where they purchased groceries, clothes and other items will no longer support many businesses. Barber shops, movie theaters, auto repair shops and a host of other businesses will see fewer customers. Sales taxes will decrease and rental properties will be vacant.
The unintended consequences will reach beyond the economic impact on these states. The documented results will become irrefutable facts that support amnesty for people on U.S. soil without authorization. None of the advocates of anti-immigration laws desire such an outcome. However, as more data is gathered, economists and even 4th grade students will be able to extrapolate the data to show the impact on the national economy if 11-million people leave the USA.
Today, all is not lost. Although there are thousands of pages that already suggest the real impact of anti-immigration laws, more months are needed to collect data. Perhaps Arizona and Alabama will suddenly reduce taxes and perhaps their unemployed will fill those vacant jobs. Cleaning fish, picking crops, lawn maintenance, house cleaning and making beds at motels are honest jobs and perhaps all of those unemployed citizens are gobbling up those jobs as I type.


[1] When it became more difficult for temporary workers to enter the USA, millions would not risk returning home to Mexico out of fear that they could not return to the USA next year to support their families. Millions of workers on U.S. soil without authorization remained instead of returning home as they did in years past.

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